MST radar detection of middle atmosphere tides

Meteorological and dynamical requirements pertaining to the specification of middle atmosphere tides by the MST radar technique are outlined. Major issues addressed include: (1) the extraction of tidal information from measurements covering a fraction of a day; (2) the ramifications of transient effects (tidal variability) on the determination and interpretation of tides; (3) required temporal and spatial resolutions and; (4) global distributions of MST radars, so as to complement existing MST, meteor wind, and partial reflection drift radar locations

Compatible Weighted Proper Scoring Rules

Many proper scoring rules such as the Brier and log scoring rules implicitly reward a probability forecaster relative to a uniform baseline distribution. Recent work has motivated weighted proper scoring rules, which have an additional baseline parameter. To date two families of weighted proper scoring rules have been introduced, the weighted power and pseudospherical scoring families. These families are compatible with the log scoring rule: when the baseline maximizes the log scoring rule over some set of distributions, the baseline also maximizes the weighted power and pseudospherical scoring rules over the same set. We characterize all weighted proper scoring families and prove a general property: every proper scoring rule is compatible with some weighted scoring family, and every weighted scoring family is compatible with some proper scoring rule

The Atmospheric Tides Middle Atmosphere Program (ATMAP)

Atmospheric tides, oscillations in meteorological fields occurring at subharmonics of a solar or lunar day, comprise a major component of middle atmosphere global dynamics. The purpose of the 1982 to 1986 Atmospheric Tides Atmosphere Program (ATMAP) was to foster an interaction between experimentalists, data analysts, and theoreticians and modelers, in order to better understand the physical mechanisms governing tides and their relationships to other scales of motion, and to thereby explain features of observed tidal structures in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. The ATMAP consisted of seven observational campaigns, five workshops and a climatological study. A historical perspective is provided along with a summary of major results, conclusions, and recommendations for future study which have emerged from the ATMAP

Tidal coupling with the lower atmosphere (invited review)

The various ways are reviewed in which propagating tidal components excited in the mesophere and below affect the structure of the thermosphere and ionosphere above 100 km. Dynamo effects are not treated here. The physical processes affecting the propagation of upward propagating tides are examined and how they are interrelated in the context of a numerical model. Propagating diurnal and semidiurnal tides which reach thermospheric heights are excited primarily by insolation absorption by tropospheric water vapor (0 to 5 km) and stratospheric/mesospheric ozone (40 to 60 km), respectively. Simulation of these oscillations requires consideration of mean zonal winds and meridional temperature gradients, and the damping effects of turbulent and molecular dissipation, radiative cooling, and ion drag. These effects must be considered on a spherical rotating atmosphere extending from the ground to above 300 km, as they are in the model developed by Forbes depicted schematically

Lyman-alpha transfer in primordial hydrogen recombination

Cosmological constraints from the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies rely on accurate theoretical calculations of the cosmic recombination history. Recent work has emphasized the importance of radiative transfer calculations due to the high optical depth in the HI Lyman lines. Transfer in the Lyman-alpha line is dominated by true emission and absorption, Hubble expansion, and resonant scattering. Resonant scattering causes photons to diffuse in frequency due to random kicks from the thermal velocities of hydrogen atoms, and also to drift toward lower frequencies due to energy loss via atomic recoil. Past analyses of Lyman-alpha transfer during the recombination era have either considered a subset of these processes, ignored time dependence, or incorrectly assumed identical emission and absorption profiles. We present here a fully time-dependent radiative transfer calculation of the Lyman-alpha line including all of these processes, and compare it to previous results that ignored the resonant scattering. We find a faster recombination due to recoil enhancement of the Lyman-alpha escape rate, leading to a reduction in the free electron density of 0.45% at z=900. This results in an increase in the small-scale CMB power spectrum that is negligible for the current data but will be a 0.9 sigma correction for Planck. We discuss the reasons why we find a smaller correction than some other recent computations.Comment: 16 pages, 7 figures, matches PRD accepted version. Fixed bug in numerical transport code, resulting in slightly reduced effect on recombination histor

A two-dimensional search for a Gauss-Newton algorithm

Original article can be found at: http://www.ici.ro/camo/journal/jamo.htmThis paper describes a fall-back procedure for use with the Gauss-Newton method for nonlinear least-squares problems. While the basic Gauss-Newton algorithm is often successful, it is well-known that it can sometimes generate poor search directions and exhibit slow convergence. For dealing with such situations we suggest a new two-dimensional search strategy. Numerical experiments indicate that the proposed technique can be effective.Peer reviewe

First Record of \u3ci\u3eHarpalus Ochropus\u3c/i\u3e Kirby (Coleoptera: Carabidae) From Minnesota and the Conterminous United States

(excerpt) The epigeal ground beetle Harpalus ochropus Kirby (Coleoptera: Carabidae) has been reported from Alaska and across Canada from British Columbia into Quebec (Bousquet and Larochelle 1993). It is local and rarely collected. Gandhi et al. (2005) surveyed for carabids extensively for several years along the Gunflint Trail and adjacent Boundary Waters Canoe Area in northeastern Minnesota

Nutrition and the gastrointestinal tract

In this year’s issue, we again have a high-calibre collection of topical reviews. Gracie and Ford commence with an assessment of the role of symbiotics (i.e. probiotics and prebiotics given together) in patients with irritable bowel syndrome. They first review the many randomized trials of probiotics and the significant and persistent reductions in symptoms that (on balance) these yield – that may persist after the end of treatment. Pain, bloating and flatulence are all better than with placebo with a range of different regimens. However, although symbiotics appear promising, their current conclusion is that the evidence for superiority over probiotics alone is lacking. Jin and Vos then consider the pathophysiology of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and specifically the role of fructose. Their synthesis of the literature includes the conclusion that unregulated lipogenesis is key to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, linked to generalized increases in visceral adiposity – in turn probably secondary to changes in the intestinal microbiota. Dietary fructose seems an important determinant of these phenomena, and early-in-life exposure appears of most significance. Although dogmatic advice is not justified, continuing to argue for limitation of dietary fructose seems wise. Barrett et al. consider the immune response in patients on artificial nutrition in the current context wherein we aim for enteral nutrition whenever possible – thus recognizing that patients who need parenteral nutrition are then an especially high-risk group. They conclude from AQ3 a wide consideration of animal and human data that the intestinal epithelial barrier is significantly compromised and to a clinically relevant extent in patients on exclusive parenteral nutrition. They encourage targeted new work to exploit the mechanisms that have now been unearthed, such that future parenteral nutrition could be used with fewer adverse immunological consequences. Plank and Russell look at nutrition in liver transplantation incorporating new data from patients with concomitantmorbid obesity. It is of course clear that obesity is a perioperative risk factor but we lack proof that pretransplant weight loss would change this. The main issue here is probably the sarcopenic element, and weight loss without muscle preservation (or growth) would be unlikely to help. As obese patients are AQ4 being transplanted, better data are clearly needed to guide optimal nutritional strategies. After a comprehensive review on the state of the art on gluten sensitivity in the absence of coeliac disease by David Sanders, the issue finishes with a intriguing article by Murphy et al. in which they consider the evidence that chronic disease is made more likely by changes in the gut microbiota driven by a high-fat diet. Although dysbiosis is present and linked to obesity, on present evidence, this falls short of a direct causal relationship. We feel confident that readers will find plenty to provoke thought and hopefully to stimulate research in the many loci where data are sparse or inconclusive

Linear Estimating Equations for Exponential Families with Application to Gaussian Linear Concentration Models

In many families of distributions, maximum likelihood estimation is intractable because the normalization constant for the density which enters into the likelihood function is not easily available. The score matching estimator of Hyv\"arinen (2005) provides an alternative where this normalization constant is not required. The corresponding estimating equations become linear for an exponential family. The score matching estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed for such models, although not necessarily efficient. Gaussian linear concentration models are examples of such families. For linear concentration models that are also linear in the covariance we show that the score matching estimator is identical to the maximum likelihood estimator, hence in such cases it is also efficient. Gaussian graphical models and graphical models with symmetries form particularly interesting subclasses of linear concentration models and we investigate the potential use of the score matching estimator for this case

Recent progress in tidal modeling

Recent contributions to tidal theory during the last five years are reviewed. Specific areas where recent progress has occurred include: the action of mean wind and dissipation on tides, interactions of other waves with tides, the use of TGCM in tidal studies. Furthermore, attention is put on the nonlinear interaction between semidiurnal and diurnal tides. Finally, more realistic thermal excitation and background wind and temperature models have been developed in the past few years. This has led to new month-to-month numerical simulations of the semidiurnal tide. Some results using these models are presented and compared with ATMAP tidal climatologies